Cascadia Surgical — Plan vs Actual
Cascadia Surgical, its item catalog and its planner desks are fictional and every number on this page is simulated; scored against the plan as frozen 3 months out. It is a purpose-built synthetic plan snapshot with planted measurement traps to find.
What to look for
- One planner desk carrying a third of the portfolio’s error on a fifth of its units
- A portfolio bias of almost exactly zero — and the desk that owns most of the error reading flat too, with two of its own lines leaning hard in opposite directions underneath it
- A slice that hits its plan to the unit and still lands well under it in money
- An implants window where the value gap is a price move and the units never budged
- A month where about a third of two product lines’ demand at one site simply arrived in the next one
- The same year scored at four snapshot ages, and how much better the shortest stored vintage looks
- Three items at the top of a percent-error ranking whose whole annual error is a rounding difference
WMAPE 16.1% · lag 3 mo · 12 mo
- Legs that raise actual above plan
- Legs that lower it
- No variance — the zero line, and the timing leg sitting on it
- The net gap, measured from zero
The gap between actual value and plan value at the demo’s house lag, taken apart leg by leg — timing, then volume, then mix, then price — and closed by the net gap as a bar measured from zero. Volume takes value away before mix and price add it back, and the four legs sum to the net gap exactly, with no residual. Timing is exactly zero over the full year by the demo’s own conservation rule: a unit that lands early in one month is missing from another.
facts.json · 12 months · lag 3 · timing, volume, mix, price, in that order
Snapshot frozen 2026-07